Papers

Causal Decision Theory, Context, and Determinism, Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 2024. Early online.

The Punctuated Equilibrium of Scientific Change: a Bayesian Network Model (with Patrick Grim, Frank Seidl, Isabell N. Astor, and Caroline Diaso), Synthese, 2022.

Scientific Theories as Bayesian Nets: Structure and Evidence Sensitivity (with Patrick Grim, Frank Seidl, Isabell N. Astor, Caroline Diaso, and Peter Ryner), Philosophy of Science, 2022.

Conference Proceedings

Dutch Books, Indicative Conditionals, and Rational Updating (with Snow Zhang), Proceedings of the 24th Annual Amsterdam Colloquium, 2024.

Work in Progress

A paper on diachronic Dutch books (with Snow Zhang), revise and resubmit

A paper on the Desire-as-Belief thesis, under review

A paper on updating on conditional information, under review

A paper on decision theory and expert deference, under review

A paper on self-recommending decision theories, under review

A paper on epistemic polarization (with Eduardo J. Martinez), under review

A paper on counterfactual indeterminacy

A paper on accuracy (with Mikayla Kelley, Richard Roth, and Snow Zhang)

A paper on the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics (with Francisco Calderón)